Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.635727 0.825436 1.040221 1.298257 1.596725 1.928158 2.321035
2025-03-30 0.400857 0.642049 0.951346 1.362463 1.880347 2.497774 3.276012
2025-04-06 0.245312 0.495288 0.859644 1.391553 2.112222 3.021567 4.222220
2025-04-13 0.135643 0.362763 0.744775 1.357683 2.246481 3.425430 5.044127
2025-04-20 0.077442 0.281844 0.678385 1.370878 2.433838 3.901025 5.976854
2025-04-27 0.042387 0.221042 0.623497 1.385056 2.614687 4.370535 6.917318
2025-05-04 0.018393 0.160351 0.545113 1.341147 2.696222 4.698335 7.673810
2025-05-11 0.006196 0.113141 0.472914 1.289470 2.752882 4.985228 8.377319
2025-05-18 0.001917 0.087072 0.437495 1.296748 2.900395 5.406909 9.279140
2025-05-25 0.000194 0.060651 0.385189 1.257482 2.961331 5.695984 9.996005
2025-06-01 0.000013 0.052530 0.385203 1.327911 3.216023 6.289814 11.168457
2025-06-08 NaN 0.039291 0.357866 1.330994 3.347832 6.694200 12.071376
2025-06-15 NaN 0.036164 0.370764 1.433192 3.672964 7.423988 13.487529
2025-06-22 NaN 0.030578 0.368973 1.499480 3.935303 8.062883 14.785254
2025-06-29 NaN 0.023609 0.353834 1.529289 4.129534 8.597696 15.939157
2025-07-06 NaN 0.014970 0.316472 1.492534 4.190592 8.915334 16.770424
2025-07-13 NaN 0.010551 0.299106 1.506279 4.350624 9.399620 17.864297
2025-07-20 NaN 0.007263 0.283486 1.521222 4.512276 9.889269 18.973683
2025-07-27 NaN 0.003689 0.250289 1.474319 4.541205 10.153179 19.736647
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001495 0.217722 1.419137 4.546062 10.373077 20.432376
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000735 0.204762 1.426882 4.686286 10.830194 21.508489
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000170 0.180161 1.384951 4.712207 11.085726 22.267656
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000117 0.185794 1.460114 5.006538 11.823684 23.808216